World 2026 AIGroup Stage

Prop-bet AI card

AI match probabilities and prop-watch research powered by public fixtures, Elo ratings, market context, and four model opinions.

56%Model consensus

unanimous

Group JMatchday 3Scheduled

AUTAustria

10:00 PMJun 27, 2026GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City, Missouri, USA

ALGAlgeria

AUT win43%

Draw27%

ALG win30%

AUT lean, research only.

4 model panelSource-backed fallback

72/72 fixtures0/12 batches0/6 Gateway cap100% covered

Group72 fixtures · 59% avg confidence

AI research card

Best AI prop-bet leans

Four-model consensus paired with the strongest prop-watch signal. Research only, not betting advice.

6 leans4 pass/watch72/72 fixtures covered

Lower variance

Foundation 2-leg prop card

43%

2 legs40% avg edge4/4 model support

POR vs COLGoals over 2.5 · 64%
+63% market edge · Kalshi 1%
ALG vs ARGGoals over 2.5 · 67%
17% model edge · model-only

Highest-support prop leans from the four-model coverage, capped to two fixtures to keep correlation down.

Market edge

Market-edge 3-leg prop card

22%

3 legs29% avg edge1.3/4 model support

POR vs COLGoals over 2.5 · 64%
+63% market edge · Kalshi 1%
AUT vs ALGBoth teams score yes · 57%
+13% market edge · Kalshi 44%
UZB vs CODBoth teams score yes · 60%
+12% market edge · Kalshi 48%

Prioritizes public market-priced props when available, then fills with the strongest source-backed model edges.

Upside watch

Upside 4-leg watch card

18%

4 legs28% avg edge4/4 model support

POR vs COLGoals over 2.5 · 64%
+63% market edge · Kalshi 1%
ALG vs ARGGoals over 2.5 · 67%
17% model edge · model-only
COD vs PORGoals over 2.5 · 65%
15% model edge · model-only
AUT vs ARGGoals over 2.5 · 65%
15% model edge · model-only

Higher-variance research card built from the strongest prop edges across different fixtures; watch late source movement.

Group K · Matchday 3

POR vs COL

Jun 27, 2026 · 7:30 PM · Hard Rock Stadium

175

Match leanPOR · 70%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. POR carries the stronger rating profile.

RFPOR · 70%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.MSPOR · 70%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.TRPOR · 70%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.VGPOR · 70%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.

64% probability+63% market edgeKalshi 1%8 fixture market refs

Group J · Matchday 3

ARG vs JOR

Jun 27, 2026 · 10:00 PM · AT&T Stadium

142

Match leanARG · 88%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropShots on target over 9.5

4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.

RFARG · 88%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 78/18/4.MSARG · 88%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 78/18/4.TRARG · 88%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 78/18/4.VGARG · 88%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 78/18/4.

63% probability13% model edgemodel-only8 fixture market refs

Group J · Matchday 1

ALG vs ARG

Jun 16, 2026 · 9:00 PM · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

130

Match leanARG · 76%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.

RFARG · 76%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 9/18/73.MSARG · 76%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 9/18/73.TRARG · 76%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 9/18/73.VGARG · 76%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 9/18/73.

67% probability17% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs

Group K · Matchday 1

COD vs POR

Jun 17, 2026 · 1:00 PM · NRG Stadium

123

Match leanPOR · 73%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. POR carries the stronger rating profile.

RFPOR · 73%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 11/18/71.MSPOR · 73%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 11/18/71.TRPOR · 73%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 11/18/71.VGPOR · 73%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 11/18/71.

65% probability15% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs

Group K · Matchday 2

UZB vs POR

Jun 23, 2026 · 1:00 PM · NRG Stadium

122

Match leanPOR · 72%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. POR carries the stronger rating profile.

RFPOR · 72%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 12/18/70.MSPOR · 72%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 12/18/70.TRPOR · 72%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 12/18/70.VGPOR · 72%Source-backed · POR carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 12/18/70.

65% probability15% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs

Group J · Matchday 2

AUT vs ARG

Jun 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM · AT&T Stadium

121

Match leanARG · 71%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.

RFARG · 71%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 12/18/70.MSARG · 71%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 12/18/70.TRARG · 71%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 12/18/70.VGARG · 71%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 12/18/70.

65% probability15% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs

Pass discipline

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World 2026 AIGroup Stage

Prop-bet AI card

AI match probabilities and prop-watch research powered by public fixtures, Elo ratings, market context, and four model opinions.

56%Model consensus

unanimous

Group JMatchday 3Scheduled

AUTAustria

10:00 PMJun 27, 2026GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City, Missouri, USA

ALGAlgeria

AUT win43%

Draw27%

ALG win30%

AUT lean, research only.

4 model panelSource-backed fallback

72/72 fixtures0/12 batches0/6 Gateway cap100% covered

Group72 fixtures · 59% avg confidence

AI research card

Best AI prop-bet leans

Four-model consensus paired with the strongest prop-watch signal. Research only, not betting advice.

6 leans4 pass/watch72/72 fixtures covered

Lower variance

Foundation 2-leg prop card

43%

2 legs40% avg edge4/4 model support

POR vs COLGoals over 2.5 · 64%
+63% market edge · Kalshi 1%
ALG vs ARGGoals over 2.5 · 67%
17% model edge · model-only

Highest-support prop leans from the four-model coverage, capped to two fixtures to keep correlation down.

Market edge

Market-edge 3-leg prop card

22%

3 legs29% avg edge1.3/4 model support

POR vs COLGoals over 2.5 · 64%
+63% market edge · Kalshi 1%
AUT vs ALGBoth teams score yes · 57%
+13% market edge · Kalshi 44%
UZB vs CODBoth teams score yes · 60%
+12% market edge · Kalshi 48%

Prioritizes public market-priced props when available, then fills with the strongest source-backed model edges.

Upside watch

Upside 4-leg watch card

18%

4 legs28% avg edge4/4 model support

POR vs COLGoals over 2.5 · 64%
+63% market edge · Kalshi 1%
ALG vs ARGGoals over 2.5 · 67%
17% model edge · model-only
COD vs PORGoals over 2.5 · 65%
15% model edge · model-only
AUT vs ARGGoals over 2.5 · 65%
15% model edge · model-only

Higher-variance research card built from the strongest prop edges across different fixtures; watch late source movement.

Group K · Matchday 3

POR vs COL

Jun 27, 2026 · 7:30 PM · Hard Rock Stadium

175

Match leanPOR · 70%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. POR carries the stronger rating profile.

64% probability+63% market edgeKalshi 1%8 fixture market refs

Group J · Matchday 3

ARG vs JOR

Jun 27, 2026 · 10:00 PM · AT&T Stadium

142

Match leanARG · 88%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropShots on target over 9.5

4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.

63% probability13% model edgemodel-only8 fixture market refs

Group J · Matchday 1

ALG vs ARG

Jun 16, 2026 · 9:00 PM · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

130

Match leanARG · 76%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.

67% probability17% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs

Group K · Matchday 1

COD vs POR

Jun 17, 2026 · 1:00 PM · NRG Stadium

123

Match leanPOR · 73%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. POR carries the stronger rating profile.

65% probability15% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs

Group K · Matchday 2

UZB vs POR

Jun 23, 2026 · 1:00 PM · NRG Stadium

122

Match leanPOR · 72%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. POR carries the stronger rating profile.

65% probability15% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs

Group J · Matchday 2

AUT vs ARG

Jun 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM · AT&T Stadium

121

Match leanARG · 71%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5

0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.

65% probability15% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs

Pass discipline