Four-model consensus paired with the strongest prop-watch signal. Research only, not betting advice.
6 leans4 pass/watch72/72 fixtures covered
Lower variance
Foundation 2-leg prop card
41%
2 legs14% avg edge4/4 model support
ARG vs ALGGoals over 2.5 · 64%
14% model edge · model-only
ARG vs AUTGoals over 2.5 · 64%
14% model edge · model-only
Highest-support prop leans from the four-model coverage, capped to two fixtures to keep correlation down.
Market edge
Model-edge 3-leg prop card
26%
3 legs14% avg edge4/4 model support
ARG vs ALGGoals over 2.5 · 64%
14% model edge · model-only
ARG vs AUTGoals over 2.5 · 64%
14% model edge · model-only
JOR vs ARGGoals over 2.5 · 64%
14% model edge · model-only
Prioritizes public market-priced props when available, then fills with the strongest source-backed model edges.
Upside watch
Upside 4-leg watch card
17%
4 legs14% avg edge4/4 model support
ARG vs ALGGoals over 2.5 · 64%
14% model edge · model-only
ARG vs AUTGoals over 2.5 · 64%
14% model edge · model-only
JOR vs ARGGoals over 2.5 · 64%
14% model edge · model-only
BRA vs MARGoals over 2.5 · 63%
13% model edge · model-only
Higher-variance research card built from the strongest prop edges across different fixtures; watch late source movement.
Group J · Matchday 6
ARG vs ALG
Jun 16, 2026 · 9:00 PM · Kansas City
118
Match leanARG · 70%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5
4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.
RFARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.MSARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.TRARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.VGARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.
64% probability14% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs
Group J · Matchday 12
ARG vs AUT
Jun 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM · Dallas (Arlington)
118
Match leanARG · 70%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5
4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.
RFARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.MSARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.TRARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.VGARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 69/18/13.
64% probability14% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs
Group J · Matchday 17
JOR vs ARG
Jun 27, 2026 · 10:00 PM · Dallas (Arlington)
118
Match leanARG · 70%Models0/0/4/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5
0/0/4/0 model split. 0/0/4/0 model split. ARG carries the stronger rating profile.
RFARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 13/18/69.MSARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 13/18/69.TRARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 13/18/69.VGARG · 70%Source-backed · ARG carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 13/18/69.
64% probability14% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs
Group C · Matchday 3
BRA vs MAR
Jun 13, 2026 · 6:00 PM · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
115
Match leanBRA · 69%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5
4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. BRA carries the stronger rating profile.
RFBRA · 69%Source-backed · BRA carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 68/18/14.MSBRA · 69%Source-backed · BRA carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 68/18/14.TRBRA · 69%Source-backed · BRA carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 68/18/14.VGBRA · 69%Source-backed · BRA carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 68/18/14.
63% probability13% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs
Group H · Matchday 5
ESP vs CPV
Jun 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM · Atlanta
115
Match leanESP · 69%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5
4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. ESP carries the stronger rating profile.
RFESP · 69%Source-backed · ESP carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 67/19/14.MSESP · 69%Source-backed · ESP carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 67/19/14.TRESP · 69%Source-backed · ESP carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 67/19/14.VGESP · 69%Source-backed · ESP carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 67/19/14.
63% probability13% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs
Group C · Matchday 9
BRA vs HAI
Jun 19, 2026 · 8:30 PM · Philadelphia
115
Match leanBRA · 69%Models4/0/0/0 splitPropGoals over 2.5
4/0/0/0 model split. 4/0/0/0 model split. BRA carries the stronger rating profile.
RFBRA · 69%Source-backed · BRA carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 68/18/14.MSBRA · 69%Source-backed · BRA carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 68/18/14.TRBRA · 69%Source-backed · BRA carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 68/18/14.VGBRA · 69%Source-backed · BRA carries the stronger rating profile. Baseline probability is 68/18/14.
63% probability13% model edgemodel-only0 fixture market refs
ARGArgentina
ALGAlgeria